Math 300 , Spring 2008, Day 23, W, March 26 .after class. Hit reload

Midterm due today.      Geometric?

No class Friday. Go be Active! Email me if you want to meet for questions etc.

Quiz Next class (Mon.): Closed book, Expected value stuff,  chosen from:
      (for sure) Deriving, E(X(X-1))of Poisson.
   (one from)   Var(X)  from E(X(X-1)) and E(X)  (how to find & why)
             Proofs for Var and Cov alternate formulas.  Var(X+Y) = Var(X) + Var(Y) +2Cov(X,Y) (derivation )
   (one from) True/false: X,Y Independent <=?=>  E(XY)=0, Cov(X,Y)=0  (like Ash HW p.223 # 14)

HW
Read 4.1.
Note:  f(x) = |x| is "already" a piecewise function:  f(x) = x if x > 0,  = -x if x < 0  See p. 96 for examples of use.
p. 103-4, #1 thru 6
Read ahead pp.104 to 114.  (You can do the following problem whether or not the reading makes sense.)

Some more continuous probability problems: Handout "Density problems"
  Do #1, 3b, 4b, 5  Hand in!

Read 4.2 pp.104 to 114.  Discrete to start with.  Then continuous, then mixed.
Discrete CDF's:

A.  Poisson Distribution: Use the Poisson table handout Poisson table   to find, for lambda = 2.2,
    P(X< 4), P(X > 4), P(X = 2),  P(2 < X < 4),  P(2 < X < 4)
B.  Use M&M's binomial table (Table C) (or the Excel version), and construct a table column for B(4, .5) which tables F(x). Check with the Cumulative  binomial table here.  (Many books give cumulative tables.)  Also Graph it.
   Find P(1 < X < 4) from M&M's table, and from the cumulative table.  Show your work.

Ash p. 118, #1  Write the formula for F(x) carefully, paying attention to endpoints.(do graph both graphs)

HW: Continuous CDF: graphing
A. Normal Distribution: Tables often give cumulative distributions; almost always for Normal.  (There is a table on p. 129, Ash--"Unit normal", or use the one in M&M, or here).

a) (Review.) Use  P(a < X < b) = F(b) -F(a) and a Normal table to find P(.5 < X < 1.5) for X the Standard normal distribution.
b) Use the table for the Standard Normal Distribution and plot P(X < x) vs. x, for x = -3, -2.5, -2, -1.5, etc. by .5's, to +3. Connect the dots with a smooth line, and you will have graphed the CDF of the Standard Normal. This shape (turned sideways) is called an "ogive".

B. Density-->CDF handout:  Graph CDF by counting squares, carefully.  Calculate formula next time(s).
C151 Densities to CDF  Graph CDFs --counting squares is already done.  Calculate formulas next time(s).

= = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =

Ch. 4, Continuous distributions--outcome is a measure, not a count.   Spinner!

   Density curve:  f(x) > 0, with total area under f(x) = 1  "Probability density function" = "pdf"
Probability = Area under the curve.  P(a<X<b) = area between a and b. continued. Details Day 22

4.2:  Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF, "Distribution Function")
F(x) = P(X < x).   
Defined for every x on the real line.  Capital letter. (pdf uses small letter)
Continuous:
Area to the left of x under the density.  Continuous function.
  P(a < X < b) = F(b) - F(a)  
    (You used this to find Normal probabilities in Statistics)

Discrete: Sum of probabilities to the left of x (including x).  Jumps at each lump. "Step function."
  
See  Poisson table   ---shows the step function
 P (X < a) = F(a), P (X < b) = F(b), so
P (a < X < b) = F(b) - F(a)  (note missing = at left end)  Must watch ends carefully
 
Details Day 22 

Continuous: Area to the left of x under the density. 
F is a Continuous function
.  Think of moving x from left to right across the density curve, tabling the area to the left of x.  Since the area increases bit by bit as x increases, F will be a continuous function, even if the density f is not.

Counting squares: Two  Handouts. Density-->CDF handout  ,   151 Densities to CDF


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