Math 151 , Spring 2005, Day 35 Wed. April 27 Hit reload After class

Exam 3, Friday April 29 (Day 36)  Covers work Days 24 (yes)  thru Friday  Day 33
  "Sample exam" problems handed out. (Answers self-contained).
         Correction:  p. 388 425 #15 Twins

   I will give you, on the test, the formulas for SD(p-hat), SD(x-bar), n for given C and ME.  The rest you need to memorize.
   LaReina will not be available Thursday night (lacrosse championships).  She Will be available "extra" Wed 12:30-2.  I'll be on campus midday Thursday; 11:30-12:30 and 1:45-2:15 only.
Day 35 WED. April 27: (Re)Reading: Chapter 20+21 thru p. 392 (Activstats is good here too.) Then continue (Alpha levels) through 397.  Lightly through Power.  Read What can go wrong p. 401 and the rest. (SPSS won't do proportion computations, but some other programs do; it's good to have an idea what you might see, p. 402.)  Next: Chapter 23, Means.
Hand in (All D&V) Part of Wednesday (If we get there (we didn't)- - - - - - - - - - - ) 
A.  Use the T-table to decide these questions: 
a)  Ho: p = .3 vs.  HA: p>.3.   z from p-hat is 2.12.  Is it significant at the .01 level? .05? .10? 
b)  Ho: p = .3 vs.  HA: p not = .3.   z from p-hat is 2.12.  Is it significant at the .01 level? .05? .10? 
c)  Ho: p = .3 vs.  HA: p>.3.   z from p-hat is 3.16.  Is it significant at the .01 level? .05? .10? 
p. 387, #11 (use p.397--CI's & Tests)
Read,
  to 
discuss 
Optional 

Homework questions? Day 32 ,
(From email:) I'm still looking at 3d, chapter 20.  I can't figure out what they think they're saying there, but as far as I can see, what they're actually saying is wrong.  The buzzwords are in there but put together wrong.
What I see them saying is that P(Ho true) = 22%.  ("Poll results could be just natural sampling variation" means Ho, no change, is true.)  And that's just plain wrong.  So all the answers are wrong.
4d is a *good* correct answer, when Ho is "die is fair"

While I'm at it, 2c is not very well posed either.  Our alternatives are always of the form <, > or not equal to.  But they're interested in showing "at least 60%", which is >.
Their answer is  Ho: p = .60, Ha: p>.60.  Which is not exactly appropriate but the best we can do.
If they had said "...if we are sure that MORE THAN 60% of the people like [it]" their answer would be appropriate.

alpha questions Day 33
Questions for test?    Note "Sample exam"  Correction:  p. 388 425 #15 Twins

New material Not coveredDay 34


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