Math 151 , Day 5 Mon., Sept. 8, Fall '08 .. Hit reload to get most current version

HW Day 5:   (Re)Read Ch.2 thru p. 47  Check: 2.15,17,18 (5#summary/boxplot). Read 53-55, "Organizing...".. New:  pp.47-50- standard deviation, Check 2.19(don't calculate. It's not #a), 20, 21, 22.
Read in Ch.3,  64-9 density curves, & ahead Normal Distributions 70-84:  There's a lot there, and I will cover a good chunk Wed. or Friday (?). 
Hand in:
Standard deviation
B.  Find the mean and standard deviation of these 4 numbers: 2, 2, 4, 8 by hand.
p. 50, 2.9 Blood phosphate Do a and b by hand.  Use SPSS
or some other tool** to  do c.  Write your answers from screen to paper.  Also (re)make a dotplot of the data, mark the mean with a wedge, and indicate the standard deviation s with <----> lines from the mean to both sides, s long. (like the sketch below)

p. 51, 2.10   xbar=7.50, s = 2.03 the same for both dist's. Don't do the calculations--just make stemplots & compare their shapes!
ALSO, type the data for Dataset B into SPSS
or other**, excluding the outlier of 12.50.  Find and write down the mean and s.d. now.  Compare to xbar=7.50, s = 2.03 .

Ch 3, beginning:
Complete the Densities Handout  (Link, or get from outside my door if you missed class) Solutions
p. 66, 3.1 Sketch density curves
p. 69, 3.2 & 3.3Uniform distribution This is the same density as A on the Handout on Densities.
p. 69 3.4 means and medians

Read, to discuss 


Optional

p. 62, 2.40, 2.43  Play with  summary numbers. Use the Applet, One variable statistical calculator; type data in at the Data tab.

**Where it says to use  SPSS, you may use SPSS (preferred) (Didn't get handout? Link ), or a statistical calculator if you have one, or the Applet, One Variable Statistical Calculator, on the web http://bcs.whfreeman.com/bps4e or on the CD in your book.
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Sign in on the clipboard. .  Find someone you don't know and introduce yourself.  Introduce yourself to at least one person you know, in case they've forgotten who you are.Note Class members is up.  Check that you're correct.
Compare HW with others, tell me unanswered questions, write #s on the board.

Email me if you didn't get an email from me Friday about the Canada/US problem.

Math Clinic 
General schedule is up.

Handouts today:  SPSS--Mean and SD
   We'll have a whole day on SPSS, in the Mac 101 computer lab, probably  next class. 
Next time (Wednesday) meet in Mac 101, probably. SPSS! Bring Text, + whatever you store files on.
   (maybe Fri--watch this page, + email.)
Tables for Simple Models (Densities))

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Another timeplot,  on overhead, or Beer1.pdf
Homework questions? Day 4
 
Quartiles, five number summary, boxplot, IQR.  Notes  Day 3
   4-step process (Day 4, bottom)

Summaries of Middle & Spread continued--"Systems:"
-- (Midrange, Range  Very sensitive to outliers--they use only the max and min!)
-- Median, IQR  (+ Quartiles Q1, Q3, 5-number summary), based on percentiles (j'th percentile is > j% of the data)
-- Mean, StandardDeviation "x-bar" (or "y-bar"), "s"  (good for symmetric unimodal, no outliers)

Standard deviation (measure of Spread that goes with mean)
    Variance s2:  (almost) average of squared deviations from the mean.
                 (Divide by (n-1) "degrees of freedom")
    s : Standard deviation  is the square root of the variance.
            Computation:  I will require you to know how to do it by hand for 4 or 5 observations
   (see BPS4e p. 48-9 for formula & computation example. )
Demo:  1,1,2,4, mean = 2, sum of squared deviations = 6, variance = 2, s = 1.41
1,1,2,4,12, mean = 4, sum of squared deviations = 86, variance = 21.5, s = 4.64.
(Midcomputation check:  Sum of deviations from the mean (before squaring each) always = 0 )

--s is Always > 0  (0 only if all observations are =)
--s units the same as those of the observations (squared and squarerooted).
        Physics: angular momemtum (spinning ice skater)

         Not so weird: High school geometry?
        Remember Pythagorean theorem: c2 = a2  + b2:
                hypotenuse of right triangle is also square root of a sum of squares.
Very sensitive to outliers (the outliers  contribute much more than their share to the Sum of Squared Deviations from the Mean)   Note contribution of 12 -->

Mean and Standard Deviation are for Symmetric Unimodal  distributions without big outliers.
   (ideally "Bell-shaped" = Normal)

SPSS, for simple computation: Handout


Ch. 3, Density curves, BPS4e pp.64-69
GET  handout HW sheet: "Tables for Simple Models (Densities)"     Handout )

Spinner. Use 248x310 pixels    (When values can take on any of a continuous interval of numbers)
Example:  Spinner:  Label edge with continuous values from 0 to 1. Spinning should produce 1/10 of all spins in each colored sector.  Simulations of 500, 3000 spins show roughly true. More spins would get closer.
(Histograms of simulations)

Abstraction, idealized histogram ("Mathematical model") = Density curve. Describes a theoretical distribution of data.

Any density curve:  is a curve
   --always on or above the horizontal axis
   --has area exactly 1 underneath it.
Many, many density curves are possible, modeling many phenomena.
  • For the spinner, the density curve is "Uniform on 0 to 1".
  • If you have two spinners like this, spin both at once and add the results--the corresponding density curve is "triangular, symmetric, on 0 to 2"
  • A more complicated mechanism will produce data corresponding to the density curve I have called "trapezoid, -1 to 2"
  • A very important one is the "normal" distribution family (familiar "bell-curve").
  • Median, mean, percentiles, standard deviation are defined for a density curve in analogy to those for a histogram.
    -- median has half of area below and half above.
    -- mean is balance point.  On the long-tail side of median if distribution is skewed. Same as median if symmetric.
    --First quartile has 1/4 of area below, 3/4 above. Etc. for others.

    Many densities have tables to describe them.  Especially tables showing area to the left of (below) a given value ("Cumulative Proportion").

    You will make and use "Cumulative Proportion"  tables for the simple distributions on the handout.  These are similar to the table we will use to describe the Normal distribution.

    Ahead:  Applet: Normal Density Curve   http://bcs.whfreeman.com/bps4e


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