Math 300 , Spring 2004, Day 24, F, April 5 After Class Hit reload ...

Quiz Monday:  (Unless I get emailed protests)
Quiz Monday: Closed book, Expected value stuff,  chosen from:
   (for sure) Deriving, E(X(X-1))of Poisson.
   (one from)   Var(X)  from E(X(X-1)) and E(X)  (how to find & why)
             Proofs for Var and Cov alternate formulas.  Var(X+Y) = Var(X) + Var(Y) +2Cov(X,Y) (derivation )
   (one from) True/false: X,Y Independent <=?=>  E(XY)=0, Cov(X,Y)=0  (like Ash HW)

4.2:  Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF, "Distribution Function") cont'd
F(x) = P(X < x).    Defined for every x on the real line.   Capital letter.

Continuous: Area to the left of x under the density.

F is a Continuous function.  Think of moving x from left to right across the density curve, tabling the area to the left of x.  Since the area increases bit by bit as x increases, F will be a continuous function, even if the density f is not.

Counting squares: Two  Handouts.
Computation:  F(x0) is the area under the density curve from minus-infinity to x0.  Find it by taking the definite integral.
    If f is defined piecewise, F will be also, and the computation of  area may need to piece together separate integrals.
    After you have found the formula(s), you can drop the subscript from the x.
 Nit-pick with Ash:  p. 112 ff--she uses x both as the variable of integration f(x)dx, and the limit value (integral to x).
     Mathematicians regard that as bad grammar.  If you use x inside in f(x)dx, use x0 as the limit value.
                                                                         If you want to use x as the limit value, use f(t)dt inside.
Examples: from 151 handout:
A, "Uniform"  Since f is constant through the interval [0, 1], F will increase at a constant rate through the same interval.
        So F(x) is a straight line, rising from 0 at the beginning of the interval to 1 at the end of the interval.
              F(x) = 0,    x< 0
                     = x, 0<x<1
                     = 1, 1< x
    For uniform distributions over other intervals, say [a,b], F is still the straight line going from (a,0) to (b,1)
      Formulas p. 102-3, 106-7     (You can get F as area under f between a and x by geometry  (Ash) or by calculus;
             or by high school techniques for finding the line between 2 given points.  Know one way.)
B, "triangular"
f(x) = x,    0<x<1      0<x<1, F(x) = 0Sx t dt = [ t2/2]0x =  x2/2
         2-x, 1<x<2      1<x<2, F(x) = 0S1 t dt +1Sx(2-t) dt = 1/2 + [2t- t2/2]1x
                                                     = 1/2 + [2x- x2/2] -[ 2- 1/2] = [2x- x2/2]-1
                     Checking endpoints of intervals where each formula holds shows that it is continuous.

(Some) Properties:  P(a < X < b) = F(b) - F(a)
                               F(x) --> 1 as x --> infinity (it may actually get to 1, earlier)
                               F(x) --> 0 as x --> minus infinity (as x decreases)  (it often gets to 0)
                  F(x) is NONDECREASING (it may be flat or increasing as x increases, but it's never decreasing)
                  F(x) is flat in intervals which have no probability
                For Discrete X, F is a step function--jumps at the lumps. P(X = a) = size of jump at a.
                For Continuous X, F is a continuous function, increasing in intervals where f(x) is > 0.
------- ------ -------
HW4.2 pp.111 to 114  READ P. 118 Top.

Density-->CDF handout: Graph CDF by counting squares, carefully.
"151" handout:  Finish finding all the F's using calculus, graph using tables and check with formulas for F.
Ash p. 118
   #4, 5, 6
  #2 (uniform)--the formula is on p. 106
  #10a,b by calculus--sketch both f and F
  #10c: Draw f. Find F(-.1), F(.1), F(.5) by geometry.  Connect those points to get the graph of F
             (Use the idea behind the uniform derivation pp. 106-7).
Handout "Density problems"
  Find F(x) for #2. Then take its derivative and see that you get f(x) back again.

Monday:  Mixed distributions--some parts continuous, some parts discrete (jumps).
Example: X = Lightbulb life for a bulb that burns 10 hrs/ day, then is turned off, turned on again the next morning.
           Bulbs often burn out at the "moment" of being turned on.  But have a chance of burning out while on.
      Density inadequate, discrete distribution inadequate.
          "Pseudodensity" puts "lumps" in places ("delta function"--finite nonzero area attached to a single point.)
   Examples:  Uniform from 0 to 10, P(10) = .5. Another: Old lightbulb (900hrs already)--Turn on, then burn till it burns out.
Cumulative distribution function is completely adequate--increases in continuous regions and jumps at lumps.
Getting density from CDF (continuous)


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