Math 300 , Spring 2002, Day 19, M, March 11 Hit reload to get most current versionAfter Class

    I didn't get the Midterm finished.  Sorry!  Wednesday morning.
Friday class?  Optional (no new work) if 2 absent.  Monday after break will have new work.
mean of geometric, using formulas on p. 36, Ash
 Reread Moore pp.380 for derivation of Binomial mean and standard deviation.
    (remaining: variance of one Bernoulli trial X)  E(X)= p
     Var(X) = E(X - E(X))2 = (0-p)2P(X=0)+ (1-p)2P(X=1) = p2q + q2p = pq(p+q) = pq
Algebra of expectation and variance (continued):  (Handout)
(Ash Ch. 7, pp. 220-235)
--Proof of E (X+Y) = E(X) + E(Y).

Continuing from here on Wednesday:
Go thru handout, as we work through more results of Algebra of expectations.
 If X and Y are independent, then E(X · Y) =  E(X) · E(Y) , I'll prove it.  Accept it for HW tonight..

New this semester:
   VarX = E(X2) - (E(X))2     (We can turn this around and find E(X2) from VarX and E(X))
         I'll prove it.  Accept it for HW tonight..
   Cov(X, Y) = E[(X-E(X)) · (Y-E(Y))] (def.)    = E(X · Y) - E(X) · E(Y)
    Var(X+Y) = Var(X) + Var(Y) + 2Cov(X, Y)    (a cov term for every pair, if summing more than 2)
           If X and Y are independent, Cov(X,Y) = 0, and we get our familiar Var sum.
    Correlation "rho"of X, Y is Cov "standardized" by dividing by both standard deviations (p. 235).
            is Theoretical version of correlation coefficient r.

I'll go over variance of Hypergeometric.
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
Read Ash pp. 220-235 (ignore anything with integral signs)  Especially note proof of "More practical way to find VarX, p. 225.  It should be understandable.
HW:  Many are taken from list on  bottom of Algebra handout; repeated here.  Eventually you'll do them all.
Due Wed:
Derivatives review:
A) Find the derivative with respect to w:
  (w3- h)/(3+w + 2w2),    exp(-w2),        ln(2 + 3w2 )
   Find the second derivative with respect to q:    q,  q2, q3, q4, q5, q6,   qx

B) Graph the four points in the x,y plane (0,2), (1,0), (1,4), (2,2).  Let each point be equally likely (prob = 1/4).  Let X be the value on the x-coordinate, and Y be the value on the Y coordinate.
  a) Find E(X + Y) by evaluating x+y for each of the 4 points, multiplying by the probability, and summing.
  b) Find E(XY) by evaluating xy for each of the 4 points, multiplying by the probability, and summing.
  c) Find the probability distribution of X.  Find the probability distribution of Y.  Find E(X).  Find E(Y).
  d) Check if E (X+Y) = E(X) + E(Y).
  e)  Check if E(X · Y) =  E(X) · E(Y)
  f)  Check if X and Y are independent.  (For independence, for any x,y pair, P(x,y) = P(X=x) · P(Y=y).  So to show non-independence, you only need to find one x,y for which that is not true.)

p. 223, #14.  (We haven't yet proved that If X and Y are independent, then E(X · Y) =  E(X) · E(Y), but we've talked about it, and it's true.  Your results from problem B may be helpful here also.)

p. 233,  Accept the alternate formula for variance: VarX = E(X2) - (E(X)) (formula and proof, p. 225) and use it where useful.
    #1, #3
    #6 a.  We'll work toward proving it next time.
    # 7,  using the rules you learned from Moore & McCabe, & VarX = E(X2) - (E(X))2
    #16 (they mean: you know the distribution of X if you think about it.)

D) On a separate page, find E(X(X-1)) for the Poisson distribution.  Keep it for next time.  (Make a table: the beginning is shown on the bottom of the Algebra handout.  Then you can use the trick on p. 76)

E)  Use the algebra of Expected values to get a relationship among  E(X(X-1)), E(X2), and E(X)

Continue to fill out your Named distribution sheet.  You've now proved or should have read the proofs for:
   Binomial (Mean and Variance)
   Geometric (Mean: 3 ways--2 in class, 1 on p. 81)
   Hypergeometric (Mean, p. 80--same as Binomial.  Checked in an example)
   Poisson (Mean: in class, also p. 76)
Due Monday after break? more....


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