Math 300 , Spring 2002, Day 17, W, March 6 Hit reload to get most current versionAfter Class

Closed Book Quiz Friday, Named distributions
Expectation:
Review of  E(X), var(X)  Moore pp. 326-340
the Algebra of Means and Variances:     (Means: p. 334    Variances: p. 337 )
Rules 1 are for a linear transformation a+bX of one R.V. (cf. p. 57 for data),
Rules 2 for a linear combination X + Y

  Usually we use the first way, as when we find Var(X) = E(X - E(X))2 , but both work.
E is a linear operator (actually affine)--constants and -, + pass across E.
Var(X) is not.

mean of Poisson, using formulas on p. 36, Ash
    geometric, next time
We'll develop the rules further, prove the ones we haven't.
Handout (homework): Joint distribution, checking Moore's rules, above rule.

I'll review the following Friday--but look thru these now:
Handout, p1 arrows-->. If W is a function of X (W=g(X)), you can find E(W) either by
  >> summing g(xi)·P(X=xi)   for all the values of xi,    or by
   gathering all the probabilities of  the x's which have the same w-value, thus finding the distribution of W, and            ·
 >>  summing wj·P(W=wj)   for all the values of wj.
  Usually we use the first way, as when we find Var(X) = E(X - E(X))2 , but both work.
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Def: X and Y are independent random variables if
       P(X = x and Y = y) = P(X = x) ·P(Y = y) for  every possible  pair x and y.
  What happens on X has no effect on the probabilities of Y:  P(Y = y) = P(Y = y | X = x)

If X and Y are independent, then E(X · Y) =  E(X) · E(Y)  (will prove.)  This is needed to prove
         Var(X+Y) = Var(X) + Var(Y).
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Finding E's in complex cases:  If X = X1+ X2+...+Xn then E(X) = E(X1)+E(X2)+...+E(Xn). (Ash 3.2)
        (If the Xi's  are independent (not usually true), then the variance can be found the same way.)
         If the Xi's take on the values 0 or 1, they are called indicator random variables, and E(Xi) = P(Xi = 1)
    Binomial, drawing without replacement (mean only): Xi =1 if i'th trial is a Success.
       Reread Moore pp.380 for derivation of Binomial mean and standard deviation.
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HW for today:
Handout "Expected values and variances" problems A thru D.
Review Moore hw (p. 4 of handout)
Ash p. 77 : 1, 2, 3, 5
  Postponed to next HW:  p. 84, 1 + See  addition on handout  p. 4


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