Math 151 , Day 10, Friday, Feb. 23, 2004 After Class

--Exam 1  Friday Sept. 24, Day 13, in class, closed book.   Bring a simple calculator. I will give you copies of the Normal table.  If you will need extra time, make arrangements with me by next Wednesday, please.
Covers through Monday's HW--2.1, maybe 2.2.  You will need to read SPSS output, but not tell how to produce any. You will need to calculate "by hand" a standard deviation for four numbers. (As well as medians, quartiles, etc.)   Problems like HW + some true-false or multiple choice types.

HW Day 10:  Bring questions for exam.!!
Read Ch. 2 (Examining relationships), 2.1  pp. 78-91.  and  ahead 2.2 (correlation) You do not have to be able to calculate r by hand.  You should be able to guess roughly at an r for a swarm of data; as p.101, fig. 2.9, and know and  be able to use facts 1 thru 7, p. 100
Relationships & Scatterplots: 2.1
Hand In:
p.81, 2.1 (rel. or explan/resp) 
Do 2.17a, p.98, graphing by hand! 
p. 91ff, 2.8 gpa vs. IQ 
  2.10 states'mean/median income 
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 Begin SPSS Scatterplot, Hand in all next Wednesday
Scatterplot handout is outside my door (white folder) if you want to work ahead.
---From now on, make all scatterplots on SPSS!
SPSS Scatterplot Handout:  Use the handout and govsal_vs_pay.sav  data file to use SPSS and answer questions 1-5 (page 3 of handout). 
p.87, 2.6 (SPSS) gas mileage
p.89, 2.7 (SPSS) metabolism Using the pre-made data set, graph the males and females simultaneously.   If you want to print just the females, change the male points' color to white, or Exclude them from the graph (handout p. 2).  Save your data file and output file for problem 2.22, later. 
p. 95, 2.14 (SPSS) (teachers' pay vs. no HS)

(This problem looks forward to Sec. 2.3, sort of
 p. 95, 2.13 corn plant density. (SPSS) Import the data from the text file. Notice how the data is entered for SPSS--not as displayed here! but with the first column giving planting Rates and the second giving Yield.  Make a scatterplot.  You can find means for the separate groups as we did before (in Explore, Rates to the Factor list).  Graph the means by hand on your printed plot, and connect the means dots.

Read, to discuss 
 

 p. 82, 2.3 (Breast CA vbles)

Optional (more practice) 
 

p. 92, 2.9 hotdogs&sodium
2.11 Wine vs. heart disease

HW Questions? 
 Need more normal distribution practice?  Get Handout if you didn't last time.
    Handing out:  Sample exam 1 questions+Ch 2 scatterplot extra page.  (Extras in white folder outside my office)
               Solutions on reserve, + outside my door.
--What proportion of pregnancies last 310 days or more?  z = (310-266)/16 = 44/16= 2.75.  Area above 2.75 = .0030.
        3 in a thousand pregnancies last that long.  Pretty rare.  Is "San Diego Reader" one of the 3-in-a-thousand, or is she lying?  (this is the kind of question we deal with in Significance Testing, part 3 of the course).*
= = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = = =
Relationships: (Ch 2 Intro and Sec. 2.1)
Related quantitative variables
    "Just Related" or "explanatory & response?"
(scatterplots)
explanatory = independent = "x" = horizontal axis ( = "cause", sometimes but not always)
  response =    dependent= "y" = vertical axis      = ("effect ")

(Living histograms:  Height vs. weight, Height vs. gpa)

Discussing Scatterplot
General Pattern                                      Deviations
Clusters?                                                      Outliers? (label if possible)
Shape (linear, curved, ...?)
    Strength of relationship (how unfuzzy)  "Weak, moderate, strong"
Direction
    Positively associated:  y increases as x increases (generally).
    Negatively associated:  y decreases as x increases.

Mark subgroups differently to do comparisons. (Subgroups defined by categorical variable, like Sex, Region of country)
  Some scatterplot data:  educ-v-mortality.sav  ,   studatsp03.sav
Handout on SPSS Scatterplots etc. (Moore Ch. 3)
govsal_vs_pay.sav  is the file used for most of the handout.



Correlation (2.2)
Website,  http://www.whfreeman.com/scc,
ClickNetscape toolbars to minimize them, if needed.
  Choose "Statistical Applets",  Correlation/Regression.  Play with data points, observing the Correlation Coefficient.
    Check in the "Show Mean X &Mean Y lines" box.  See how much is in each quadrant.
Sievers home  Math151-Sp04/Dayf10.htm  10:40pm  9/16/04
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*Bear in mind that there were around 400,000 births in California in 1970. (I'm guesstimating.  There were 605,694 births in 1990, and the population of California in 1970 was 2/3 of that in 1990).  So a 3-in-a-thousand event would occur in 3x400 = 1200 births--there would be 1200 women in San Diego Reader's position (many of whom wouldn't know it.)  Rare events DO happen--it's not really fair to only notice and question them AFTER the fact.
Note--pregnancy in 1970 usually didn't involve the level of medical intervention (ultrasound, inducement of labor, etc.) it often gets now.