Math 151, Day 9,  Wednesday, Feb. 16,  2001  Final version

Hour exam, a week from Friday (Day 13).  Covers thru Monday's assignment.
Homework notes:  Just because SPSS will do some of your work, don't abdicate responsibility.  You still have to label your graphs, tell what you're counting or measuring. Make conclusions if any.  And if you have a bunch of output and the desired answers are in there someplace, you have to find them and mark them for your reader/self.  Since they are printed on paper, and you all own pens or pencils, this is not too onerous.

Standardizing, Day 8
Normal area problems, Day 8
Got to here, day 9, will start here on Day 10.
"Backward problems"  "What raw (x) value has area ___ to the left/right of it?"
        Sketch  the curve, labeled with x values and z values, and the Area, roughly.
        Restate (if needed) as "What z value has area A to the LEFT of it."
        Look in body of table for the value closest to A.
        Go to edge(s) of table to find what z that goes with.
        Convert the z to an x: z is the number of standard deviations above the mean.
            Multiply z by the size of 1 standard deviation.  Now you have distance above the mean, measured in raw units.
            Add the mean.  Now you have the "raw" value x.
Example:  What x value has 10%  of the observations above it?  This is the same x as the one for:
        What x value has 90% of the observations below (to the left of) it.

The table gives z = 1.28, approximately.  The Wechsler score x= mean + z (s.d.) =  110 + 1.28 (25) = 142

Percentiles:  a Wechsler score of 142 has 90% of the scores at or below it.  142 is the 90th percentile.



HW Day 9, Wednesday, Sept 19. (Re)read the section,  (Re?)read  pp. 61-64, using the table "backward" for next time, and look at above example.  Summary, pp. 66-69.
Read ahead Ch. 2 (Examining relationships), pp. 78-91.  Then we'll continue with 2.2 (correlation)
Hand in
standardizing:
p. 56 1.56 SAT/ACT       p. 65 1.64 (cf. batting avgs)
table use: Always sketch the distribution first, mark the area you are looking for!
p. 64 1.68 a and b.Pregnancies
Also, What proportion of pregnancies last 310 days or more? (see below.) 
p. 61 1.58 (locomotive adhesion, 2 dist's) 
 p. 66 1.69 (Stanford-Binet, "superior")
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Following is part of Day 10 asst.
"Backward Normal"Always sketch a normal curve first,
roughly mark the proportion=area you are given.
p. 76 1.89 (soldiers' heads)
p.64 1.68 c (pregnancy)
p. 66 1.70 (z-scores of quartiles)
Read, to discuss 
 

 

 Optional (more practice) 

1.67 
+Learn to use SPSS to find 
the proportions-- 
manual pp. 58-59:"CDF" 
 
 
 

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Part of Day 10:
"Backward" 
p. 62 1.60 (WAIS)
+Learn to use SPSS to find 
the values-- manual pp.58-59:"IDF" 
 

[In 1973] the following item appeared in Dear Abby's column:
     Dear Abby: You wrote in your column that a woman is pregnant for 266 days. Who said so? I carried my baby for ten months  and five days, and there is no doubt about it because I know the exact date my baby was conceived. My husband is in the Navy  and it couldn't have possibly been conceived any other time because I saw him only once for an hour, and I didn't see him again  until the day before the baby was born. I don't drink or run around, and there is no way this baby isn't his, so please print a retraction about that 266-day carrying time because otherwise I am in a lot of trouble.
                                                                               San Diego Reader
Abby's answer was consoling and gracious but not very statistical:

     Dear Reader: The average gestation period is 266 days. Some babies come early. Others come late. Yours was late.

The question here is not whether the baby was late. That fact is already known. At issue is the credibility of the length of the delay. Ten months and five days is approximately 310 days, which means that the pregnancy exceeded the norm by 44 days. [How unusual is that?]


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