Math 151, Day 42, Wednesday Dec 12, 2001 Last class! Check here for updates of my time on campus, last minute notes.  New stuff in this color.

Thank you, you've been a great class.  Please fill out an evaluation, put it in the envelope (circulating, or by HW folder)

Compare with your neigbors:  your answers to the homework:
Compare answers to the sheet of answers to test problem 2 (significance, p-value).
Discuss the choices you made for problems 74, 75, 76, and the conclusions you came to.

**Final Exam is scheduled for evening, 7-10 Monday Dec. 17.
Alternative times (choose 1, or to come at the above scheduled time--sign up NOW.  Email me if you must change.)
    1-4 Monday, Dec. 17
    9:30-12:30 Wednesday Dec. 19.
Place: Monday afternoon= Macmillan 100 (turn right as you enter the basement door).  Other times= usual classroom. 
Comprehensive, with special attention on Ch.7.  Closed book, but: You may bring one sheet of paper with notes (both sides).  The exam will be similar in style to the midterms, a mix of multiple choice, computation, written answers.  About 1 1/2 to 2 times the length of a midterm.  You should not need the whole 3 hours but you may have it if you like.  If you plan to start late, please let me know ahead of time so I don't worry about you.

My availability:
 This afternoon, till about 4:30.
Thursday 1 - 4
 Not Friday
Monday:  Help session, in the classroom, 11-12. (If nobody comes by 11:10, I'll return to my office)
    On campus from about 10:30-evening.
 Wednesday 9:30-1
I'll be on campus:  If I'm not in my office (Mac 102), I'm probably in Mac 101 or will leave a note on the door.  Email or phone me to be sure of finding me.

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HW questions?
  Test question 2:   D Correct and complete:  (mostly. I would change the second "results" to "actual values in the population")
            O correct and complete (but I'm prejudiced.  I wrote it)
             P correct but doesn't tell me what the "significance" or ".05" are for.
            All the rest missed or misapplied some crucial aspect:  We need:
The 5% applies to repeated samples of the same size we could in theory take (but don't take) from the populations.
The 5% is the proportion of the samples that would show  a difference this big if the null hypothesis, that there is no difference, is true.  That is, the probability that we would see a difference in our sample this big "by chance" when there really is no difference.
Because this result is unlikely if there is no difference in the population, we take it as evidence that there really is a difference of the sort the sample shows.

What we studied::
[Data Analysis: description and exploration]
      [Data Production: Sampling, Designing Experiments]
              [Statistical Inference: formal Estimating and Testing--quantifying our uncertainty and satisfying the skeptic]

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Optional problems to study with:  bottom of Day 41

Good luck!
SRS


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